Friday, May 16, 2014

Preakness 2014 Picks (UPDATED)

There are plenty of bets to make throughout the day, but I'll just give four choices for Races 8-12. I'll tweet actual Pick 5 and Pick 4 tickets tomorrow when I bet them.

Race 8: 1, 2, 3, 4 (9 is a scratch)
Race 9: 2, 3, 6, 7 (9 and 10 should do well too, so since you can go deep with a .10c bet and there's a mandatory payout today, include them)
Race 10: 1, 2, 4, 10 (8 is a scratch)
Race 11: 3, 6, 8, 9 (consider 1 and 5 as well)
Race 12: 3 (single California Chrome)

For Race 12 exacta, trifecta, superfecta, I like 7 and 10 since the pace should set up for closers, although I'm thinking 1, 5, 8 might hang on for a piece of the bottom. Note that this is really just a "tune-up" race for Kid Cruz (7), who is pointed at and bred to run long in the Belmont, but since this horse has won twice over this Pimlico course, I wouldn't be surprised to see him run second or third. I think Chromey will win it, but he will offer very little value, so the only value is in the gimmicks. Added note: a lot of 'cappers are high on the 4, who looked good headed towards the Derby but passed on the race because of a bruised hoof. Add him to the exotics.

Good luck!

Friday, May 2, 2014

2014 Kentucky Derby Picks!

Here are the four horses I like in each race (6-11), in no particular order.

6th: Centre Court, Effie Trinket, I'm Already Sexy, Ready Signal 

7th: Judy the Beauty, Midnight Lucky, Iotapa, Scherzinger 

8th: Storming Inti, Picozza, Quotient, Chief Barker

9th: Delaunay, Sahara Sky, Falling Sky, Broadway Empire

10th: SINGLE Wise Dan (Boisterous, Admiral Kitten, Seek Again)

11th: California Chrome, Samraat, Danza, Intense Holiday (alt: Medal Count for Samraat)

Good luck! Will post updates in the morning if there are scratches or I get more info that changes my mind about something. Today wasn't bad; I missed the Pick 5 by one leg. D'oh! Story of my life.


Thursday, May 1, 2014

2014 Kentucky Oaks Picks!

Well, I have just a few bets to put up. If I did my math right, these total $96 for the day assuming one dollar for all ,but $2 for the double.

Pick 4 (races 8-11): 4, 5, 7, 10 with 4, 5, 6, 10 with 2 with 3, 13

Oaks/Derby Double (I'm leaving out California Chrome simply for purposes of value; otherwise in my mind, if Untapable wins the Oaks, it's hardly worth the bet): 13, 3 with 4, 6, 16, 18

Oaks/Woodford/Derby: 3, 13 with Wise Dan (sorry, don't know his PP offhand) with 4, 6, 16, 18

Oaks trifecta: 13 over 7, 11, 2, 3 over 7, 11, 2, 3

Oaks superfecta: BOX 2, 3, 11, 13 and cross your fingers

Good luck!

UPDATE: The 10 is a scratch in race 9, so replace with the 3, Granny Mc'sKitten