Friday, October 31, 2008

NO ON PROP 8

Historically, when Americans have amended the Constitution, it's to bestow rights upon citizens, not to take them away. Let's not set a dangerous precedent by supporting Prop. 8 and denying gay people our right to marry. Vote NO!

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

2008 Breeders' Cup Ladies' Classic

If she doesn't get Horse of the Year, something is wrong in racing! Here, she's in post position #1, breaks easily, sits at the back of the pack, and then closes easily on the outside. That is a BIG girl with a LONG stride and she is simply awesome. I don't think I saw Mike Smith use the whip at all. She's undefeated, 9 for 9.

...And They're Off!


Here's Philadelphia Park yesterday in a freak snowstorm. Can you just hear the announcer? "And it's Snowflake off to a slippery start, followed by Blizzard, then in the blue blinkers, Deep Freeze . . . "

Saturday, October 25, 2008

Breeder's Cup Picks for Saturday

Two things to keep in mind throughout the day, assuming the courses will play the same way: (1) a friend who was at Santa Anita yesterday texted to say that early speed doesn't win on the Pro-Ride--in fact, Brad Free even points out in the DRF that more often than not, those who can sit right off the pace win more often than not. As for the turf course, as the track heats up over the course of the day, fewer closers win. So in the later turf races, avoid the straight closers. (2) The European horses seem to be handling the Pro-Ride track just fine on the whole, so all of those horses in the Classic are not necessarily big question marks.

So saying, here are my favorites and I hope I can at least hit a Pick 4.

Race One: BC Marathon: I like #4 Sixities Icon; #6 Zappa; and #3 Delightful Kiss.

Race Two: BC Turf Sprint: The horse who SHOULD win is #14 Mr. Nightlinger, but he's way on the outside on that downhill turf course, and I have visions of him hitting the dirt patch on the turn, freaking out, and running into the fence. Okay, I'm a doomsayer. So I wouldn't single him. I like #3 True to Tradition, #10 California Flag, and #2 Fleeting Spirit.

Race Three: BC Dirt Mile: #8 Well Armed; #7 Albertus Maximus; #1 Lewis Michael (or #9 Slew's Tiznow, who, I think I read somewhere, was pointed at this race)

Race Four: BC Turf Mile: #4 Goldikova! Of course! But watch out for Kiaran McLaughlin's only horse of the day in #1 Shakis. And #11 Whatsthescript is worth a look.

Race Five: BC Juvenile: #4 Square Eddie; #8 Street Hero; and #11 Midshipman. But #3 Terrain might surprise us if he doesn't run into traffic problems.

Race Six: BC Juvenile Turf: #11 Bittel Road; #12 Grand Adventure; and #10 Skipadate. #7 Coronet of a Baron is also intriguing.

Race Seven: BC Sprint: #2 Street Boss; #4 Midnight Lute; and #9 Fatal Bullet.

Race Eight: BC Turf: #3 Grand Couturier; #2 Red Rocks; and #4 Soldier of Fortune.

Race Nine: BC Classic: #9: Curlin, if he likes the track. He's been training there a month now, so ... But Shirreffs and Mike Smith seem to be on a roll, so I also like #3 Tiago. There's also #12 Champs Elysees and #4 Duke of Marmalade. And depending on how much money I have come Pick 6 time, I might throw in #2 Casino Drive. On paper, he looks weird, but he's been well prepped for this race, is fit, and has won on this track.

Good luck everybody!

Friday, October 24, 2008

Eh, 4 of 6 Isn't Too Awful ...

... but it's not good enough! :-)

I'm still 'capping tomorrow's races, but I'll try to post some picks later on tonight.

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Breeder's Cup Picks for Friday

It's that time! Here are my picks for tomorrow's card:

3rd Race: BC Filly & Mare Sprint: #5 Indian Blessing is, of course, a sentimental favorite. I singled her last year in the BC Juvenile Fillies and she won beautifully in the slop. But, the Pro-Ride surface is a different thing altogether and she's facing older foes this time around. Fortunately, she's learned to sit off the pace but not too far back in the pack, so she's well-situated to win. But I wouldn't single her unless I'm desperate to keep, say, a Pick 6 ticket affordable. I'd also include #12 Ventura, who will come flying late on Go-Go Gomez. And, if #6 Zaftig can handle the track, she has beaten Indian Blessing before (though going longer, at a mile) and could offer a decent price. If you're putting together a superfecta, other horses worth a look are #3 Intangaroo and #8 Tiz Elemental. #2 Indyanne, I am to understand, is a scratch.

4th Race: BC Juvenile Fillies Turf: #7 Consequence should offer some value and I wouldn't keep her off my ticket for two reasons; the Shug-Phipps team NEVER ships a horse that isn't ready and they always place their horses where they can win and secondly, she just fired a blistering .46 bullet over the track. She's the class of the field. But don't leave out #2 Laragh, who will probably be the favorite. She'll go to the front and bolt. But I wouldn't ignore #11, Saucey Evening. She's proven on this track and Motion is 30% with blinkers on. If you're doing exotics, other horses to consider for the bottom are #3 Maram (undefeated), and #6 Freedom Rings (Honk for Donk!)

5th Race: BC Juvenile Fillies: #10 Stardom Bound is a worthy favorite, possibly worth singling if you're trying to afford a Pick 6 ticket. Otherwise, #4 Sky Diva is looking good after the Frizette. In my mind, the best value in the race is #6 Van Lear Rose, proven on synthetic track (though Pro-Ride is a question mark) and she just ran second behind Laragh, the M/L favorite in race 4. The horse is also on the improve. Furthermore, Chantal Sutherland is a good jockey (screw the sexists who sneer at her) and it's hard to resist using the #6 at odds of 30-1. Other horses to consider are #9, Palacio de Amor, and #12 Dream Empress.

6th Race: BC Filly and Mare Turf: Arrgh! There are so many good horses in this race! But I love #7 Mauralakana--don't be fooled by her last race; she didn't like the yielding turf and the turf at Oak Tree right now is very fast and firm: her kinda track. But Aidan O'Brien is looking for a big score, and his best bet is the #8, Halfway to Heaven. She could very well run away with it. At the same time, you just can't leave out Todd Pletcher's #5 Wait a While. If you can afford to go deep, I also wouldn't leave out #3 Forever Together, who always hits the board. Jockey Julien Leparoux can't be ignored in a turf race, either. I'd use #10 Pure Clan at the bottom of exotics.

7th Race: BC Ladies Classic: If you want to single somebody, single #1, Zenyatta. She's a big girl with a huge stride and something would have to go majorly wrong for her to lose. Having said that, the one-hole has been playing dead as a doornail at Oak Tree. You can bet they'll try to pin her in. For that reason, it's hard to leave out #6 Ginger Punch, a classy gal who always gives her best; but if you do that, you can't leave out #3 Cocoa Beach, who has beaten Ginger Punch and is one of Godolphin Racing/Saeed bin Suroor's two entires. If it turns out that the track "wakes up" and starts playing to early speed, #2 Hystericalady is the front runner and came in second in this race last year.

8th Race: Las Palmas Handicap: If you're playing the Pick 6, single #1 Black Mamba. She's the one to beat and has lots of experience running on this course.

Saturday, October 18, 2008

PRIX DU MOULIN DE LONGCHAMP (Gr1) 07/09/08 - GOLDIKOVA

It's that time! Breeder's Cup! I haven't done much 'capping yet because post positions haven't been drawn, but here's an early favorite I've gotta bet in the Mile. She's the French filly who held off the boys at Longchamp, and since she'll be taking on the boys again in the Breeder's Cup Mile, I've gotta throw at least a little money on her. Watch her accelerate. Wow.

Thursday, October 16, 2008

Batman vs. The Penguin: The Debate

You HAVE to see this. I'm telling you, John McCain and Sarah Palin have been channelling the Penguin!

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Saturday, October 11, 2008

Don't Vote, Ya Apathetic A-Holes

This one's been around for a while, but if you haven't seen it, it's worth a gander, or even a second one if you're feeling too tired to bother voting in this election

Wednesday, October 1, 2008

I Have Brilliant Online Pals



Margo Moon and Cap'n Dyke put this site together, riffing on LOLCats. Well, it's LOLSarahz, and I spent about a half hour today scrolling down the page, chortling, and peeing in my pants. Go check it out!