Tuesday, April 29, 2008

134th Kentucky Oaks

I am assuming Eight Belles will run in the Kentucky Derby (hahaha, it's rather poetic justice she got the outside post in the Oaks). It's Proud Spell's race to lose--she's never NOT hit the board, even after a bad break in her last race in addition to the fact that she may not have liked the synthetic track at Keeneland.

But I also have to like Little Belle simply because of her connections (Kiaran McLaughlin for Godolphin Racing). She's won her last three in a row and is improving and it seems she can handle dirt or synthetic track. Plus she wasn't in the first Oaks Pool, so I actually have a futures bet on her since I bet "all others." So I'm selfish. Yeah, yeah.

Golden Doc A seems another obvious choice given her bullet at Churchill Downs last Wednesday (5 furlongs in .59 flat). Bejarano, her usual jockey, hops off to ride Country Star, but Kent Desormeaux, who picks up this mount, isn't a shoddy jockey. The jockey change and the fact she's never raced on dirt should frighten some people away from her too and get her a bit of a price. Gotta like that.

The two other horses I like are Bsharpsonata--she's got speed and has won on dirt. Then there's Pure Clan, another improving filly who has never NOT hit the board and has been chasing Eight Belles lately. Edgar Prado is aboard, which is always a plus in my book.

Thus, depending on how much money is in your bankroll, box for the exacta, trifecta, and/or superfecta 8-7-1-10-11. Or key one or two of 'em and let the rest follow. (For sure I couldn't do a 5-horse superfecta box. That's what? $120? Yikes.)

Good luck!

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