Monday, May 14, 2007

Preakness Stakes

Here's a very happy Calvin Borel after jockeying Street Sense to victory in the Kentucky Derby. Ah, but does the horse have a chance of taking the Preakness this Saturday?

It's a shorter race (1 mile and 3/16ths as opposed to 1 mile and a quarter). Street Sense likes to run late along the rail and hasn't won every race he's ever been in, so he may not be the best bet in terms of value. He's likely to be the favorite and, again, much will depend on the post draw (although the field for the Preakness is probably going to be nine horses, much less wacky than the 20-horse Derby).

This Wednesday will be the finalization of the field and the post draw, and then past performances for the horses will probably be available sometime on Thursday. I'll 'cap the race and post what I think. But I do understand that both Curlin and Hard Spun were pointed at the Preakness all along (ie, considered the Derby a prep race), and they will probably offer more value than Street Sense. Plus, Nick Zito and D. Wayne Lukas, two excellent trainers, will be putting horses in this race that didn't run in the Derby, so we'll see how much speed ends up being entered.

The fun will be in picking the first four horses, or the superfecta (since one obvious trifecta box will be Street Sense, Hard Spun, Curlin in any order).

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